April 2016 Press Release


June 9, 2016

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Chelsea Gold
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Tallahassee Consumers Send Mixed Message with April Spending

Local Index Saw Muted Movement Overall, but Posted Strong Gains in Advertising, New Construction Permits

Tallahassee, FL – The Tallahassee Economic Index (TEI), the city’s top economic growth indicator, today released numbers ending April 2016 which show a slowdown in spending on apparel and similar sectors, but an upswing in residential real estate.

“The consumer seemed to take a step back this month as apparel and accessories, shoe stores and household appliances were negative on a year-over-year basis,” said TEI Founder Brett F. Ewing. “Overall the move in the index was muted, but we still see many of the most reliable indicators flashing green. We don’t believe the move is the start of a new trend.”

Overall the index fell 4.94 points to 57.98, which follows a 7.98 point jump in March and a 7.73 point increase in February.

“Even though the index posted a negative month, the underlying fundamentals of the local economy appear to be steady,” said Lance Mitchell, Director of Research at the TEI. “Local construction looks to be picking up again, as new permits, building materials and home furnishings all saw solid year-over-year gains. Advertising continues to be a stalwart of growth in the index, rising 50 percent from last month and more than 100 percent from last year.”

  • Store and Office Equipment dropped 13.32 percent YoY
  • Household Appliances fell 17.90 percent MoM and 9.80 percent YoY
  • Home Furniture, Furnishings and Equipment posted a YoY gain of 7.73 percent
  • Graphic Arts, Printing and Publishing rose 11.01 percent MoM and 17.50 percent YoY
  • New Construction Permits and Realtor Sales posted large gains from last year rising 45.83 percent and 11 percent respectively
  • Initial Claims were unchanged on a MoM basis, but continued to fall YoY by declining 33.85 percent

The components of the TEI include:

Initial Unemployment Claims

Office Supplies

Lumber

Building Permits

Average Home Sales Price

Realtor Sales Counts

Shoe Stores

Advertising

Home Furniture

Graphic Arts, Printing and Publishing

Household Appliances

Apparel

Airport Traffic

Pawn Shops

Drinking Establishments


About the TEI

Powered by First Franklin Financial Services, the TEI tracks and predicts economic growth in the city of Tallahassee, Florida. This is accomplished using data collected from official sources throughout Leon County. More info at TallahasseeEconomicIndex.com.

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